Cost and ease of use limit robot conversion prospect analysis
There is no doubt that the huge potential of the robot manufacturing demand market has ushered in an excellent development opportunity for the robotic automation industry in China. Recently, the UN released a report showing that in the future, two-thirds of the labor force in developing countries will be replaced by robots. It is undeniable that robots have been widely used in manufacturing, but they still have problems of expensive construction and difficult programming. For most businesses, robots are not good enough.
According to reports, global robot sales increased by 27% to 225,000 units in 2014, and sales in China increased by 54% to 56,000 units, making it the world's largest industrial robot market for two consecutive years. Since 2013, China has purchased more industrial robots per year than other countries. By the end of 2016 or beyond Japan, it has become the world's largest industrial robot user.
At present, industrial robots are the most widely used in the automotive industry. The domestic automotive industry robot market is about 40 billion yuan, and the manufacturing demand outside the automobile is about 20 billion. In fact, not only industrial robots in the traditional pure industrial sector will be fully rolled out, but also service industry robots in the service sector are eager to try.
In 2015, the global sales of industrial robots were only about 250,000. By comparison, the total sales of servers and PCs last year was about 10 million and 300 million respectively. Obviously, the robot industry is still in its infancy, and it needs to be greatly improved in terms of cost and ease of use in order to truly move into the mainstream market.
At present, the cost curve of robots is declining. It is estimated that the cost of industrial robots will fall by half in the next ten years, falling to about $100,000. As future technologies mature, cost issues have little impact, but improving ease of use can be more difficult than reducing costs. Industrial robots do not have the ability to learn from experience. They can only rely on new procedures to learn new tasks. This flaw limits the application of industrial robots in predictable and unambiguous tasks.
In the robot industry, which continues to exhibit “explosive growthâ€, with the accelerating pace of innovation and integration between artificial intelligence technology, digital manufacturing technology and mobile Internet, the development of the global robot industry is showing a new trend. What is certain is that the robot will be the future development trend, but there are still some difficulties in the current popularity.
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