Han Yucong: Uncovering the Future Five Trends of the Internet of Things
On July 17, Han Juncong, general manager of China Telecom's government and enterprise clients, delivered a keynote speech on "Restoring Service Capability and Promoting the Rapid Development of the Internet of Things Industry" at an Internet of Things Forum.
He first analyzed the five major trends in the development of the Internet of Things:
First, the development of the Internet of Things has entered the fast lane and has become an important driving force for social development. The Internet of Things is the core incremental user base of the future communications services market. The Internet of Things market is growing rapidly, and China is the fastest growing country in the world.
The momentum of the development of the Internet of Things is accelerating. According to the forecast of international consulting companies, by the year 2020, there are estimated 25 billion smart devices worldwide, 15 billion smartphones, 2 billion tablets and 1 billion consumer electronics. The sum of these figures will be More than twice as many mobile phones and computers, and through the mobile operators' mobile network, the number of connections will be from 300 million in 2015 to around 1 billion in 2020, and mobile cellular technology will effectively support more connections because of the entire technological transformation.
76% of enterprises have already launched the IoT-related layout, and 36% of enterprises have already carried out related productization and commercialization processes. And the investment also reflects the choice of such a vent. Looking back at the 36 international large-scale enterprises from 2011 to 2016, there have been 84 investment behaviors, focusing on investing in the three fields of basic capabilities, vertical industries and smart homes. From this aspect, we can see that the Internet of Things is promoting the social economy and The development of science and technology has become an important driving force.
Second, the market pattern is increasingly converging and ecological competition has become mainstream. Including equipment and service integrators: system equipment + solutions, telecom operators: IoT channel + industry applications, Internet companies: convergence platform + intelligent hardware, industry leading enterprises: industry applications + vertical platform.
In the past, we thought that the Internet of Things was a fragmented market, but in the past eight years, a change has taken place, and the market structure has been fragmented to fragmented. Regardless of equipment suppliers and software vendors, they are aggregating from a decentralized project to a vertical domain or platform. For example, we see Qualcomm and Apple's standards for building smart homes. US Industry 4.0 is also shaking hands from its own government to this year. Huawei has also released the Internet of Things operating system to reduce the difficulty of developing Internet. The era of single-handedness and oligopoly has gone forever, leading the technical standards and building capabilities. The platform that aggregates the business of SMEs is becoming mainstream.
The third trend, LPWA is developing rapidly, and it is obvious to replace the proximity communication technology. In the development of the Internet of Things, LPWA has developed very rapidly. Because we see a lot of connected scenes, more than 60% are fixed, low speed, low power. According to the GSMA organization, there are mainly five types of connection methods for the Internet of Things, such as fixed connections, mobile connections, and so on. The short example technique is especially important because it has the advantages of quick deployment, low cost and so on. However, it also has problems, such as the lack of uniform standards, such as insufficient communication quality and lack of operational services. In fact, under the many requirements of the Internet of Things, we still need some manageable and controllable connection services. Therefore, on the communication equipment and the active promotion of operators, the LPWA technology based on our cellular communication technology has been rapidly advanced. This technology is approaching the example communication in terms of power consumption and cost, becoming our current The main direction of the industry.
Fourth, the parties have laid out the industrial ecology, and the platform has become the focus of competition. These include communications operators, IT service companies, Internet giants, industry software companies, and startup companies.
There are mainly three types of platforms. One type is the connectivity platform. At present, the global communication operators mainly cooperate with Jasper or Ericsson to deploy the M2M connection platform.
The second is the software service platform, which is based on the IG Internet and provides general software and environment for the development of the Internet of Things.
The third is the cloud platform. The Internet giant combines its own advantages to provide some cloud services of artificial intelligence, such as voice recognition, and some smart hardware cloud services, such as hardware access, device management and cloud-based operating system. Etc., so that developers can quickly integrate various business capabilities, which is a platform convergence trend.
Fifth, artificial intelligence is once again hot, speeding up the process of equal dialogue among people. Including autopilot, intelligent interaction, cognitive computing, and more.
We can see that the high-level of the Internet of Things is artificial intelligence, artificial intelligence closely related to the Internet of Things, and the hottest is the three directions we see on the map. One is automatic driving, one is intelligent interaction, and the other is cognitive computing. For autonomous driving, the most famous is the Google driverless car. After six years of testing this year, it has safely traveled 3.2 million kilometers in specific areas. The second is intelligent interaction. Since Apple introduced Siri, speech recognition and speech understanding have returned to people's horizons. In 2016, both Microsoft and Facebook are pushing the development of a chat bot. The third is cognitive computing, which has more than $2 billion in VCs flowing into cognitive computing products and services over the past five years. Everyone knows that the most famous is the Alpha Dog's century war, and the cognitive computing it represents becomes the strategic direction of future big data.
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