The New Energy Vehicle Industry "False Prosperity and Puffiness," How China Realizes Dreams
Since last year, China has become the country with the largest amount of new energy vehicles. According to data analysis, by 2025, the number of new energy vehicles will reach 20 million. Even if the state subsidy policy is gradually withdrawing, there are still many companies entering the industry.
It is worth noting that behind the hot new energy vehicles, sales of new energy passenger vehicles in the first quarter of 2017 were 49,500 vehicles, a year-on-year decrease of 17.3%. Zotye Motors, which was ranked seventh last year, has disappeared. BYD, the champion of sales for many consecutive years, has retreated to the eighth place and has even retired 7 people. The emergence of new energy vehicles in China is rapidly "fevering down".
Since 2009, China’s new energy vehicles have been thriving since the relevant national departments promoted the development strategy for new energy vehicles. According to statistics from China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, in 2015, the output of new energy vehicles reached 340,471 units and sales volume was 331,092 units, which was a year-on-year increase of 3.3 times and 3.4 times. In 2016, new energy vehicles produced 517,000 vehicles and sold 507,000 vehicles, an increase of 51.7% and 53% respectively over the same period of the previous year.
Not only that, during the “Thirteenth Five-Year Plan†period, the total amount of subsidies provided by the relevant state agencies for new energy vehicles is around 300 billion yuan. Due to the high amount of subsidies, Academician Yang Yusheng of the Chinese Academy of Sciences recommended that relevant departments control subsidies at about 100 billion yuan. The final clear result has not seen public data. It can be said that new energy vehicles have a gold key since they were born in China. So why did it happen in the first quarter of this year?
Policy subsidies subsidy
On December 30, 2016, the state introduced the central subsidy standard for new energy vehicles in 2017. The general principle is that the subsidy falls.
The main reason for the decrease in subsidies is that the new requirements for product technology are to adjust and improve the subsidy standards, comprehensively improve the technical requirements for new energy automotive products, and improve access to financial subsidies; secondly, implement local governments in the promotion and application of new energy vehicles. Responsibility is to severely crack down on fraudulent subsidies, and companies that violate the regulations and make up for fraudulent subsidies will be punished according to relevant laws and regulations and regulations.
However, according to the “subsidy reduction†policy in 2017, no matter what type of new energy vehicle is purchased this year, it will be affected. Among them, the difference of up to 4.4 million yuan is enough to buy a miniature electric vehicle, and if it is converted into insurance premiums and charging fees, it can be used for several years. However, when the subsidy retreats, whether there will be consumers willing to buy it? The answer is obvious. The data for the first quarter of this year has been well-interpreted.
Market is difficult to cross over
It can be said that China's new energy automotive industry is a relatively immature market, and its new nuclear issue: batteries, charging piles and other issues can not be resolved.
Taking the charging equipment as an example, the construction of the charging network is still very backward. At present, many vehicle owners do not have a fixed overnight parking space. They need to contact the property and power supply departments of the community, install charging piles, and ensure stable charging. The process is very tedious. Although there are supportive policies, there is no incentive for cooperation at the community level. At the level of public charging stations, although the relevant authorities of the state intend to liberalize access, due to the unclear profit model, private capital has entered the charge-exchange market. The heat is not as high as you think. It is still in a wait-and-see attitude.
China's dream of repairing multiple challenges
The growth of a new industry generally goes through four phases: the brewing period, the import period, the rapid development period and the mature period. The lead-in period is also referred to as the incubation period. China's new energy vehicles are currently at this stage.
At present, China's new energy vehicles still need strong support from national policies, subsidy policies cannot be cancelled, infrastructure is still imperfect, product performance and prices have not yet reached the level of competition with traditional products, and the industrial chain is not yet strong enough and perfect. The awareness and acceptance of new energy vehicles have yet to be improved. The tasks before us are still very arduous, and the workload is very heavy. We must not relax our efforts and slow down the development of industries that have already started.
Starting from this year, the state has gradually reduced the subsidy for new energy vehicles. Everyone is discussing what impact this will have on the industry.
The progress China has made in the new energy automotive industry is due in large part to the country’s encouraging policies. China's subsidy for new energy vehicles is the highest in the world, and it is precisely such high subsidies that play an important incentive role. But everything has two sides, and so does policy. Insufficient subsidy strength makes it difficult to provide incentive effects, and the strength of subsidies will inevitably lead to adverse effects on technological development. It also includes a few people taking the risk of defrauding subsidies. These are the complexity of things and it is not surprising.
Because of some problems, it is very unobjective to negate the subsidy policy. The correct approach is to adjust policies in a timely and appropriate manner, gradually realize regression, formulate long-term encouragement policies related to energy and environmental protection factors, further improve the other policy environment for promotion work, and push new energy automobile industry to market-oriented rapid development. Go up the track.
In addition, for the battery product quality is not high, the lack of investment in technological innovation, China's power battery industry and the vehicle industry should establish a close alliance of common development. We cannot repeat the mistakes of the traditional automotive industry and eat hard to master the core component technologies.
In short, the success or failure of the power battery determines the success or failure of new energy vehicles. Without a strong Chinese power battery industry, there can be no strong Chinese new energy automotive industry. The dream of realizing a powerful automobile country is empty talk.
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